A Multimodal Biomarker Predicts Dissemination of Bronchial Carcinoid

Ellen M. B. P. Reuling, Dwayne D. Naves, Pim C. Kortman, Mark A. M. Broeckaert, Peter W. Plaisier, Chris Dickhoff, Johannes M. A. Daniels, Teodora Radonic

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4 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Background: Curatively treated bronchial carcinoid tumors have a relatively low metastatic potential. Gradation into typical (TC) and atypical carcinoid (AC) is limited in terms of prognostic value, resulting in yearly follow-up of all patients. We examined the additional prognostic value of novel immunohistochemical (IHC) markers to current gradation of carcinoids. Methods: A retro-spective single-institution cohort study was performed on 171 patients with pathologically diagnosed bronchial carcinoid (median follow-up: 66 months). The risk of developing distant metastases based on histopathological characteristics (Ki-67, p16, Rb, OTP, CD44, and tumor diameter) was evaluated using multivariate regression analysis and the Kaplan–Meier method. Results: Of 171 pa-tients, seven (4%) had disseminated disease at presentation, and 164 (96%) received curative-intent treatment with either endobronchial treatment (EBT) (n = 61, 36%) or surgery (n = 103, 60%). Among the 164 patients, 13 developed metastases at follow-up of 81 months (IQR 45–162). Univariate analysis showed that Ki-67, mitotic index, OTP, CD44, and tumor diameter were associated with development of distant metastases. Multivariate analysis showed that mitotic count, Ki-67, and OTP were independent risk factors for development of distant metastases. Using a 5% cutoff for Ki-67, Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that the risk of distant metastasis development was significantly associated with the number of risk predictors (AC, Ki-67 ≥ 5%, and loss of OTP or CD44) (p < 0.0001). Six out of seven patients (86%) with all three positive risk factors developed distant metastasis. Con-clusion: Mitotic count, proliferation index, and OTP IHC were independent predictors of dissemination at follow-up. In addition to the widely used carcinoid classification, a comprehensive analysis of histopathological variables including Ki-67, OTP, and CD44 could assist in the determi-nation of distant metastasis risks of bronchial carcinoids.

Original languageEnglish
Article number3234
JournalCancers
Volume14
Issue number13
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jul 2022

Keywords

  • Ki-67
  • distant metastases
  • immunohistochemistry
  • prognosis
  • pulmonary carcinoid

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