Association of volumetric MRI measures and disability in MS patients of the same age: Descriptions from a birth year cohort

Background and objectives: Although MRI-based markers of neuroinflammation have proven crucial for the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS), predicting clinical progression with inflammation remains difficult. Neurodegenerative markers such as brain volume loss show stronger clinical (predictive) correlations, but also harbor age-related variation that must be disentangled from disease duration. In this study we investigated how clinical disability is related to volumetric MRI measures in a cohort of MS patients and healthy controls (HC) of the same age: Project Y. Methods: This study included 234 MS patients born in 1966 and 112 HC born between 1965 and 1967 in the Netherlands. Disability was quantified using the expanded disability status scale (EDSS), nine hole peg test (9HPT), and timed 25 foot walking test (T25FWT). Volumes were quantified on 3T MRI as normalized whole brain (NBV) and regional gray matter (GM) volumes using the same scanner and MRI protocol: cortical (normalized cortical gray matter volume; NCGMV), deep (NDGMV), thalamic (NThalV), and cerebellar (NCbV) GM volumes. In addition, mean upper cervical cord area (MUCCA), white matter lesion volume (LV), and spinal cord lesions were assessed. These measures were compared between patients and HC, and related to disability measures using linear regression. Results: Mean age of people with MS (PwMS) was 52.8 years (SD 0.9) and median disease duration 15.8 years (IQR 8.7–24.8). All global and regional brain measures were lower in MS patients compared to HC. Univariate regression models showed that NDGMV (β = -0.20) and MUCCA (β = -0.38) were most strongly related to the EDSS in all PwMS. After subtype stratification, MUCCA was most strongly related to the EDSS (β = -0.60) and 9HPT (β = -0.55) in secondary progressive PwMS. Multivariate regression models demonstrated that in all PwMS, the EDSS was best explained by lower MUCCA, longer disease durations and a progressive disease course (adjusted-R (Sastre-Garriga et al., 2017) = 0.26, p < 0.001). MUCCA was a consistent correlate in separate models of the EDSS for all PwMS, relapsing and progressive onset PwMS. The 9HPT (adjusted-R (Sastre-Garriga et al., 2017) = 0.20, p < 0.001) was best explained by lower MUCCA, higher LV and pack years, while lower limb disability (adjusted-R (Sastre-Garriga et al., 2017) = 0.11, p < 0.001) was best explained by lower MUCCA, progressive onset MS and female sex. Discussion: Our results indicate that in a cohort unbiased by age differences, spinal cord and deep gray matter volumes best related to physical disability. Our results support the use of these measures in clinical practice and trials.