Life-threatening ventricular arrhythmia prediction in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy using explainable electrocardiogram-based deep neural networks

Arjan Sammani, Rutger R van de Leur, Michiel T H M Henkens, Mathias Meine, Peter Loh, Rutger J Hassink, Daniel L Oberski, Stephane R B Heymans, Pieter A Doevendans, Folkert W Asselbergs, Anneline S J M Te Riele, René van Es

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

AIMS: While electrocardiogram (ECG) characteristics have been associated with life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (LTVA) in dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), they typically rely on human-derived parameters. Deep neural networks (DNNs) can discover complex ECG patterns, but the interpretation is hampered by their 'black-box' characteristics. We aimed to detect DCM patients at risk of LTVA using an inherently explainable DNN.

METHODS AND RESULTS: In this two-phase study, we first developed a variational autoencoder DNN on more than 1 million 12-lead median beat ECGs, compressing the ECG into 21 different factors (F): FactorECG. Next, we used two cohorts with a combined total of 695 DCM patients and entered these factors in a Cox regression for the composite LTVA outcome, which was defined as sudden cardiac arrest, spontaneous sustained ventricular tachycardia, or implantable cardioverter-defibrillator treated ventricular arrhythmia. Most patients were male (n = 442, 64%) with a median age of 54 years [interquartile range (IQR) 44-62], and median left ventricular ejection fraction of 30% (IQR 23-39). A total of 115 patients (16.5%) reached the study outcome. Factors F8 (prolonged PR-interval and P-wave duration, P < 0.005), F15 (reduced P-wave height, P = 0.04), F25 (increased right bundle branch delay, P = 0.02), F27 (P-wave axis P < 0.005), and F32 (reduced QRS-T voltages P = 0.03) were significantly associated with LTVA.

CONCLUSION: Inherently explainable DNNs can detect patients at risk of LTVA which is mainly driven by P-wave abnormalities.

Original languageEnglish
JournalEP Europace
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 28 Jun 2022
Externally publishedYes

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