TY - JOUR
T1 - Treatment Response Prediction in Major Depressive Disorder Using Multimodal MRI and Clinical Data
T2 - Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial
AU - Poirot, Maarten G.
AU - Ruhe, Henricus G.
AU - Mutsaerts, Henk-Jan M. M.
AU - Maximov, Ivan I.
AU - Groote, Inge R.
AU - Bjørnerud, Atle
AU - Marquering, Henk A.
AU - Reneman, Liesbeth
AU - Caan, Matthan W. A.
PY - 2024/3/1
Y1 - 2024/3/1
N2 - OBJECTIVE: Response to antidepressant treatment in major depressive disorder varies substantially between individuals, which lengthens the process of finding effective treatment. The authors sought to determine whether a multimodal machine learning approach could predict early sertraline response in patients with major depressive disorder. They assessed the predictive contribution of MR neuroimaging and clinical assessments at baseline and after 1 week of treatment. METHODS: This was a preregistered secondary analysis of data from the Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response in Clinical Care (EMBARC) study, a multisite double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial that included 296 adult outpatients with unmedicated recurrent or chronic major depressive disorder. MR neuroimaging and clinical data were collected before and after 1 week of treatment. Performance in predicting response and remission, collected after 8 weeks, was quantified using balanced accuracy (bAcc) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) scores. RESULTS: A total of 229 patients were included in the analyses (mean age, 38 years [SD=13]; 66% female). Internal cross-validation performance in predicting response to sertraline (bAcc=68% [SD=10], AUROC=0.73 [SD=0.03]) was significantly better than chance. External cross-validation on data from placebo nonresponders (bAcc=62%, AUROC=0.66) and placebo nonresponders who were switched to sertraline (bAcc=65%, AUROC=0.68) resulted in differences that suggest specificity for sertraline treatment compared with placebo treatment. Finally, multimodal models outperformed unimodal models. CONCLUSIONS: The study results confirm that early sertraline treatment response can be predicted; that the models are sertraline specific compared with placebo; that prediction benefits from integrating multimodal MRI data with clinical data; and that perfusion imaging contributes most to these predictions. Using this approach, a lean and effective protocol could individualize sertraline treatment planning to improve psychiatric care.
AB - OBJECTIVE: Response to antidepressant treatment in major depressive disorder varies substantially between individuals, which lengthens the process of finding effective treatment. The authors sought to determine whether a multimodal machine learning approach could predict early sertraline response in patients with major depressive disorder. They assessed the predictive contribution of MR neuroimaging and clinical assessments at baseline and after 1 week of treatment. METHODS: This was a preregistered secondary analysis of data from the Establishing Moderators and Biosignatures of Antidepressant Response in Clinical Care (EMBARC) study, a multisite double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial that included 296 adult outpatients with unmedicated recurrent or chronic major depressive disorder. MR neuroimaging and clinical data were collected before and after 1 week of treatment. Performance in predicting response and remission, collected after 8 weeks, was quantified using balanced accuracy (bAcc) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) scores. RESULTS: A total of 229 patients were included in the analyses (mean age, 38 years [SD=13]; 66% female). Internal cross-validation performance in predicting response to sertraline (bAcc=68% [SD=10], AUROC=0.73 [SD=0.03]) was significantly better than chance. External cross-validation on data from placebo nonresponders (bAcc=62%, AUROC=0.66) and placebo nonresponders who were switched to sertraline (bAcc=65%, AUROC=0.68) resulted in differences that suggest specificity for sertraline treatment compared with placebo treatment. Finally, multimodal models outperformed unimodal models. CONCLUSIONS: The study results confirm that early sertraline treatment response can be predicted; that the models are sertraline specific compared with placebo; that prediction benefits from integrating multimodal MRI data with clinical data; and that perfusion imaging contributes most to these predictions. Using this approach, a lean and effective protocol could individualize sertraline treatment planning to improve psychiatric care.
KW - Antidepressants
KW - Machine Learning
KW - Major Depressive Disorder
KW - SSRIs
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85186531522&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1176/appi.ajp.20230206
DO - 10.1176/appi.ajp.20230206
M3 - Article
C2 - 38321916
SN - 0002-953X
VL - 181
SP - 223
EP - 233
JO - American Journal of Psychiatry
JF - American Journal of Psychiatry
IS - 3
ER -