Diagnostic accuracy of non-invasive tests to screen for at-risk MASH-An individual participant data meta-analysis

Ferenc E Mózes, Jenny A Lee, Yasaman Vali, Emmanuel A Selvaraj, Arjun N A Jayaswal, Jérôme Boursier, Victor de Lédinghen, Monica Lupșor-Platon, Yusuf Yilmaz, Wah-Kheong Chan, Sanjiv Mahadeva, Thomas Karlas, Johannes Wiegand, Shalimar, Emmanouil Tsochatzis, Antonio Liguori, Vincent Wai-Sun Wong, Dae Ho Lee, Adriaan G Holleboom, Anne-Marieke van DijkAnne Linde Mak, Hannes Hagström, Camilla Akbari, Masashi Hirooka, Dong Hyeon Lee, Won Kim, Takeshi Okanoue, Toshihide Shima, Atsushi Nakajima, Masato Yoneda, Paul J Thuluvath, Feng Li, Annalisa Berzigotti, Yuly P Mendoza, Mazen Noureddin, Emily Truong, Céline Fournier-Poizat, Andreas Geier, Theresa Tuthill, Carla Yunis, Quentin M Anstee, Stephen A Harrison, Patrick M Bossuyt, Michael Pavlides

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There is a need to reduce the screen failure rate (SFR) in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) clinical trials (MASH+F2-3; MASH+F4) and identify people with high-risk MASH (MASH+F2-4) in clinical practice. We aimed to evaluate non-invasive tests (NITs) screening approaches for these target conditions.

METHODS: This was an individual participant data meta-analysis for the performance of NITs against liver biopsy for MASH+F2-4, MASH+F2-3 and MASH+F4. Index tests were the FibroScan-AST (FAST) score, liver stiffness measured using vibration-controlled transient elastography (LSM-VCTE), the fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4) and the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) and thresholds including those that achieved 34% SFR were reported.

RESULTS: We included 2281 unique cases. The prevalence of MASH+F2-4, MASH+F2-3 and MASH+F4 was 31%, 24% and 7%, respectively. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curves for MASH+F2-4 were .78, .75, .68 and .57 for FAST, LSM-VCTE, FIB-4 and NFS. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curves for MASH+F2-3 were .73, .67, .60, .58 for FAST, LSM-VCTE, FIB-4 and NFS. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curves for MASH+F4 were .79, .84, .81, .76 for FAST, LSM-VCTE, FIB-4 and NFS. The sequential combination of FIB-4 and LSM-VCTE for the detection of MASH+F2-3 with threshold of .7 and 3.48, and 5.9 and 20 kPa achieved SFR of 67% and sensitivity of 60%, detecting 15 true positive cases from a theoretical group of 100 participants at the prevalence of 24%.

CONCLUSIONS: Sequential combinations of NITs do not compromise diagnostic performance and may reduce resource utilisation through the need of fewer LSM-VCTE examinations.

Original languageEnglish
JournalLiver international
Early online date4 Apr 2024
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 4 Apr 2024

Keywords

  • FAST
  • FIB-4
  • LSM-VCTE
  • MASH
  • NFS
  • at-risk MASH
  • non-invasive tests

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