Early Detection of Imminent Encapsulating Peritoneal Sclerosis: Free Water Transport, Selected Effluent Proteins, or Both?

BACKGROUND: No diagnostic tool or methodology is currently available for early detection of imminent encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis (EPS). The objective of this study was to investigate the predictive value of free water transport (FWT) and construct a panel of peritoneal effluent proteins for EPS alone or in combination with FWT. These parameters could be incorporated in the follow-up of peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. METHODS: A case-control study, nested in a longitudinal PD patient cohort, was conducted. Time-specific areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were calculated for FWT and effluent biomarkers at a lag time up to 3 years before EPS diagnosis. Free water transport was combined with appearance rates (AR) of biomarkers to assess their clinical validity. RESULTS: Free water transport volume and AR of effluent biomarkers were investigated in 11 EPS patients and 34 long-term PD patients. Diagnostic performance was best for FWT (area under the curve [AUC] 0.94) followed by plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI-1) AR. Throughout, diagnostic panels of FWT and AR of cancer antigen 125 (CA125), interleukin-6 (IL-6), or (PAI-1) yielded specificity estimates above 84%. The combination of FWT and PAI-1 AR identified the largest proportion of EPS patients at 1 year prior to diagnosis (sensitivity 100%, specificity 94%). CONCLUSION: Measurement of FWT is simple and has the highest predictive value for imminent EPS. The addition of effluent biomarkers provides an all-round insight into the state of the peritoneum. Our data indicate that combining FWT with either PAI-1, CA125, or IL-6 has the highest specificity. This is required to avoid unnecessary discontinuation of PD treatment.