TY - JOUR
T1 - icumonitoring.ch: a platform for short-term forecasting of intensive care unit occupancy during the COVID-19 epidemic in Switzerland
AU - Zhao, Cheng
AU - Tepekule, Burcu
AU - Criscuolo, Nicola G.
AU - Wendel Garcia, Pedro D.
AU - Hilty, Matthias P.
AU - Risc-Icu Consortium Investigators in Switzerland, null
AU - Fumeaux, Thierry
AU - van Boeckel, Thomas
PY - 2020/5/4
Y1 - 2020/5/4
N2 - In Switzerland, the COVID-19 epidemic is progressively slowing down owing to “social distancing” measures introduced by the Federal Council on 16 March 2020. However, the gradual ease of these measures may initiate a second epidemic wave, the length and intensity of which are difficult to anticipate. In this context, hospitals must prepare for a potential increase in intensive care unit (ICU) admissions of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome. Here, we introduce icumonitoring.ch, a platform providing hospital-level projections for ICU occupancy. We combined current data on the number of beds and ventilators with canton-level projections of COVID-19 cases from two S-E-I-R models. We disaggregated epidemic projection in each hospital in Switzerland for the number of COVID-19 cases, hospitalisations, hospitalisations in ICU, and ventilators in use. The platform is updated every 3-4 days and can incorporate projections from other modelling teams to inform decision makers with a range of epidemic scenarios for future hospital occupancy.
AB - In Switzerland, the COVID-19 epidemic is progressively slowing down owing to “social distancing” measures introduced by the Federal Council on 16 March 2020. However, the gradual ease of these measures may initiate a second epidemic wave, the length and intensity of which are difficult to anticipate. In this context, hospitals must prepare for a potential increase in intensive care unit (ICU) admissions of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome. Here, we introduce icumonitoring.ch, a platform providing hospital-level projections for ICU occupancy. We combined current data on the number of beds and ventilators with canton-level projections of COVID-19 cases from two S-E-I-R models. We disaggregated epidemic projection in each hospital in Switzerland for the number of COVID-19 cases, hospitalisations, hospitalisations in ICU, and ventilators in use. The platform is updated every 3-4 days and can incorporate projections from other modelling teams to inform decision makers with a range of epidemic scenarios for future hospital occupancy.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85084327304&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - https://doi.org/10.4414/smw.2020.20277
DO - https://doi.org/10.4414/smw.2020.20277
M3 - Article
C2 - 32374886
SN - 1424-7860
VL - 150
SP - w20277
JO - Swiss medical weekly
JF - Swiss medical weekly
ER -