“Nearly off-track lesions” or a short distance from the medial edge of the Hill-Sachs lesion to the medial edge of the glenoid track does not seem to be accurate in predicting recurrence after an arthroscopic Bankart repair in a military population: a case-control study

Background: On-track lesions with a short distance from the medial edge of the Hill-Sachs lesion to the medial edge of the glenoid track (nearly off-track) may predispose recurrence after arthroscopic Bankart repair (ABR) in the general population. The aim of this study was to determine if a shorter distance between the medial edge of the Hill-Sachs lesion and the medial edge of the glenoid track could accurately predict recurrence after an ABR in a high-demand military population. It was hypothesized that a shorter distance would not accurately predict recurrence. Materials and methods: A retrospective monocenter case-control study was performed at the Dutch Central Military Hospital. Patients with an on-track Hill-Sachs lesion who underwent a primary ABR between 2014 and 2019 with a minimal follow-up of 2 years and a preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) assessment received a questionnaire. The primary outcome was recurrence, defined as a complete dislocation or subluxation. Glenoid bone loss was assessed using a linear-based method on MRI. The distance from the medial edge of the Hill-Sachs lesion to the medial edge of the glenoid track was defined as the distance to dislocation (DTD). A receiver operating characteristic curve was created to determine the predictive value of the DTD for recurrence. Logistic regression was used to determine preoperative risk factors that predispose recurrence. Covariates were selected based on univariable analysis and included gender, body mass index, age at surgery and first dislocation, laterality, smoking habits, overhead shoulder activity during work, preoperative dislocations, sports type and level, bony or labral lesions on MRI, and DTD. Results: In total, 80 patients with an average follow-up of 4.8 ± 1.9 years completed the questionnaire and were included in the analyses. Seventeen patients (21%) experienced recurrence at the final follow-up. No difference in DTD was observed among patients who experienced recurrence (9 ± 4 mm) compared with patients who did not (9 ± 5 mm; P = .81). The receiver operating characteristic curve demonstrated no predictive power of DTD for recurrence (area under the curve = 0.49). Smoking at the time of surgery (odds ratio: 3.9; confidence interval: 1.2-12.7; P = .02) and overhead shoulder movement during work (odds ratio: 9.3; confidence interval: 1.1-78.0; P = .04) were associated with recurrence according to the logistic regression analysis. Conclusion: A shorter DTD demonstrated no accuracy in predicting recurrence in a military population. Smoking at the time of surgery and overhead shoulder activity during work were associated with recurrence; however, these analyses were underpowered to draw valid conclusions.