Predicting Mortality Within 90 Days of First Intervention in Patients with Left-Sided Obstructive Colon Cancer

Thijs A. Burghgraef, Ilsalien S. Bakker, Joyce V. Veld, Arthur R. Wijsmuller, Femke J. Amelung, Willem A. Bemelman, Frank ter Borg, Jeanin E. van Hooft, Peter D. Siersema, Pieter J. Tanis, Esther C. J. Consten, H. Algera, G. D. Algie, C. S. Andeweg, T. E. Argillander, M. N. N. J. Arron, K. Arts, T. H. J. Aufenacker, M. van Basten Batenburg, A. J. N. M. BastiaansenG. L. Beets, A. van den Berg, B. van de Beukel, R. L. G. M. Blom, B. Blomberg, E. G. Boerma, F. C. den Boer, W. A. A. Borstlap, N. D. Bouvy, J. E. Bouwman, N. D. A. Boye, A. R. M. Brandt-Kerkhof, H. T. Bransma, A. Breijer, W. T. van den Broek, M. E. E. Broker, J. P. M. Burbach, E. R. J. Bruns, R. M. P. H. Crolla, M. Dam, L. Daniels, J. W. T. Dekker, A. Demirkiran, K. W. van Dongen, S. F. Durmaz, A. van Esch, J. A. van Essen, P. Fockens, J. W. Foppen, E. J. B. Furnee, A. A. W. van Geloven, M. F. Gerhards, E. A. Gorter, W. M. U. van Grevenstein, J. van Groningen, I. A. J. de Groot-van Veen, H. E. Haak, J. W. A. de Haas, P. van Hagen, E. E. van Halsema, J. T. H. Hamminga, K. Havenga, B. van den Hengel, E. van der Harst, J. Heemskerk, J. Heeren, B. H. M. Heijnen, L. Heijnen, J. T. Heikens, M. van Heinsbergen, D. A. Hess, N. Heuchemer, C. Hoff, W. Hogendoorn, A. P. J. Houdijk, N. Hugen, B. Inberg, T. L. Janssen, D. Jean Pierre, W. J. de Jong, A. C. H. M. Jongen, A. V. Kamman, J. M. Klaase, W. Kelder, E. F. Kelling, R. Klicks, G. W. de Klein, F. W. H. Kloppenberg, J. L. M. Konsten, L. J. E. R. Koolen, V. Kornmann, R. T. J. Kortekaas, A. Kreiter, B. Lamme, J. F. Lange, T. Lettinga, D. Lips, G. Lo, F. Logeman, Y. T. van Loon, M. F. Lutke Holzik, C. C. M. Marres, I. Masselink, A. Mearadji, G. Meisen, A. G. Menon, J. W. S. Merkus, D. J. L. M. de Mey, H. C. J. van der Mijle, D. E. Moes, C. J. L. Molenaar, P. A. Neijenhuis, M. J. Nieboer, K. Nielsen, G. A. P. Nieuwenhuijzen, P. Oomen, N. van Oorschot, K. Parry, K. C. M. J. Peeters, T. Paulides, I. Paulusma, F. B. Poelmann, S. W. Polle, P. Poortman, M. H. Raber, R. J. Renger, B. M. M. Reiber, R. Roukema, W. M. J. de Ruijter, M. J. A. M. Russchen, H. J. T. Rutten, J. Scheerhoorn, S. Scheurs, H. Schippers, V. N. E. Schuermans, H. J. Schuijt, J. C. Sierink, C. Sietses, R. Silvis, J. van der Slegt, G. D. Slooter, M. van der Sluis, P. van der Sluis, N. Smakman, D. Smit, A. B. Smits, T. C. van Sprundel, D. J. A. Sonneveld, C. Steur, J. Straatman, M. C. Struijs, H. A. Swank, A. K. Talsma, M. Tenhagen, J. A. M. G. Tol, J. L. Tolenaar, L. Tseng, J. B. Tuynman, M. J. F. van Veen, S. C. Veltkamp, A. W. H. van de Ven, L. Verkoele, M. Vermaas, H. P. Versteegh, L. Verslijs, T. Visser, H. de Wilt, D. van Uden, W. J. Vles, R. J. de Vos tot Nederveen Cappel, H. S. de Vries, S. T. van Vugt, G. Vugts, J. A. Wegdam, T. J. Weijs, B. J. van Wely, M. Westerterp, H. L. van Westreenen, B. Wiering, N. A. T. Wijffels, A. A. Wijkmans, L. H. Wijngaarden, M. van de Wilt, F. Wit, E. S. van der Zaag, D. D. E. Zimmerman, T. L. R. Zwols

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Acute resection for left-sided obstructive colon carcinoma is thought to be associated with a higher mortality risk than a bridge-to-surgery approach using decompressing stoma or self-expandable metal stent, but prediction models are lacking. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the influence of treatment strategy on mortality within 90 days from the first intervention in patients presenting with left-sided obstructive colon carcinoma. DESIGN: This was a national multicenter cohort study that used data from a prospective national audit. SETTINGS: The study was performed in 75 Dutch hospitals. PATIENTS: Patients were included if they underwent resection with curative intent for left-sided obstructive colon carcinoma between 2009 and 2016. INTERVENTIONS: First intervention was either acute resection, bridge to surgery with self-expandable metallic stent, or bridge to surgery with decompressing stoma. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The main outcome measure was 90-day mortality after the first intervention. Risk factors were identified using multivariable logistic analysis. Subsequently, a risk model was developed. RESULTS: In total, 2395 patients were included, with the first intervention consisting of acute resection in 1848 patients (77%), stoma as bridge to surgery in 332 patients (14%), and stent as bridge to surgery in 215 patients (9%). Overall, 152 patients (6.3%) died within 90 days from the first intervention. A decompressing stoma was independently associated with lower 90-day mortality risk (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.094-0.62). Other independent predictors for mortality were age, ASA classification, tumor location, and index levels of serum creatinine and C-reactive protein. The constructed risk model had an area under the curve of 0.84 (95% CI, 0.81-0.87). LIMITATIONS: Only patients who underwent surgical resection were included. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment strategy had a significant impact on 90-day mortality. A decompressing stoma considerably lowers the risk of mortality, especially in older and frail patients. The developed risk model needs further external validation. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B975.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1309-1318
Number of pages10
JournalDiseases of the colon and rectum
Volume66
Issue number10
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Oct 2023

Keywords

  • Acute resection
  • Bridge to surgery
  • Decompressing stoma
  • Left-sided obstructive colon carcinoma
  • Mortality
  • Self-expandable metal stent

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